Six obstacles for Donald Trump on the way to the presidency

Donald Trump/ Photo: USA TODAY Network / ddp USA / Profimedia

Donald Trump has confirmed that he will run for the presidency again in 2024, which will be his third consecutive bid. It is extremely rare for a person to run for office again after having already been defeated in the presidential elections, he writes The BBC.

In the speech, which lasted more than an hour, Trump mostly boasted about the results of his own presidency and criticized the first two years of Joe Biden's rule. In his speech, he showed certain characteristics that will be useful to him in the election race. Trump clearly has an unsurpassed feel for issues that matter to Republicans, such as immigration and crime.

His unpredictable and fiery style successfully attracts media attention and deprives other competitors of attention. He has a loyal supporter base and can motivate disaffected voters to go to the polls. Also, many of his supporters hold key positions in the hierarchy of the Republican Party.

Donald Trump/ Photo: Orit Ben-Ezzer/Zuma / SplashNews.com / Splash / Profimedia

However, some of Trump's key weaknesses were highlighted during the speech. He made public the hardships and wrong decisions he made during the coronavirus pandemic and completely ignored the election results, culminating in his supporters attacking the Congress on January 6, 2021.

Trump tried to defend the Republican Party's disappointing performance in last week's midterm elections, drawing criticism from conservative ranks. Trump won the presidency six years ago, but this time he will face serious obstacles on the way to the White House, writes the BBC.

1. The burden of the past

Six years ago, Trump did not hold political office, so voters could project their hopes and desires onto him. He could make big promises, and critics wouldn't be able to point to previous failures.

Now that is no longer the case. Trump has had some notable policy accomplishments during his tenure, such as tax cuts and criminal justice reform. However, he also had some significant failures, and Republicans will remember his inability to reverse Democratic health care reforms and his promised infrastructure investments that never materialized.

There will also be attacks on Trump because of his actions during the coronavirus pandemic. Democrats accuse him of not being aggressive enough, while some Republicans accuse him of going too far in supporting tough measures.

Photo: EPA-EFE / KEVIN DIETSCH / POOL

2. The events of January 6

Trump will have to defend his actions since the end of his presidency and his role in the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol. Voters will not easily forget the scenes of Trump supporters with banners trying to force their way into the building and stop the peaceful transition of power.

Even last week's special election showed that the events of January 6 are affecting voter behavior. So last week, many Republican candidates who fully supported Trump's refusal to accept the results of the 2020 election were defeated. They fared worse than other Republican candidates who did not openly deny the election results.

Photo: EPA-EFE / JIM LO SCALZO

3. Legal problems

Trump will use his presidential bid to portray himself as facing multiple criminal and civil investigations for political vendettas against his opponents. He is currently defending himself against a criminal investigation into election interference in Georgia and a civil fraud investigation targeting his New York business empire.

Additionally, he faces defamation lawsuits involving sexual assault allegations and federal investigations into his role in the Capitol attack and his handling of classified materials after his term ended.

Any of these investigations could lead to sweeping trials that would dominate the headlines and at least temporarily derail Trump's campaign. Trials would be an expensive distraction for him at best. In the worst case scenario, he would have to pay huge fines or go to jail.

Photo by EPA

4. Stronger opponents

Trump faced the Florida governor, who was considered the favorite in the Republican primaries six years ago. However, Jeb Bush ultimately turned out to be the "only-on-paper favorite." Republican voters did not share Bush's views on immigration and education, and the Bush family name no longer seemed to hold the sway in the party it once had.

If Trump wants the nomination in 2024, he may have to beat the Florida governor again. However, unlike Bush, Ron DeSantis just won the gubernatorial election by a landslide, indicating that he has strong support from the party's core supporters.

DeSantis has yet to prove himself on the national political stage, and it is not certain that he will even enter the presidential race. The incumbent governor of Florida could be the choice of Republicans who don't want to give Trump another chance, so they will rally around one candidate to reduce Trump's chances.

Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump/ Photo EPA-EFE/DAN ANDERSON

5. Decline in popularity

Polls show Trump trailing DeSantis by double digits in a head-to-head race for Republican votes in Iowa and New Hampshire. Those two states vote much earlier in the Republican primaries.

DeSantis leads Trump by 26% in Florida and 20% in Georgia. Exit polls from last week's midterm elections show that he is no longer very popular, even in those states that are key to winning the general election.

In New Hampshire, only 30% of voters said they wanted Trump to run for president again, and even in Florida that number rose to just 33%. Of course, it should not be forgotten that Trump successfully overcame negative opinions during his first candidacy.

Former US President Donald Trump / Photo by EPA-EFE / JUSTIN LANE

6. Age

If he wins the presidential election, Trump would be 78 years old at the time of his inauguration.

This would make Trump the second oldest president in US history.

The question is whether Trump will be able to withstand the grueling campaign required to win the Republican nomination.

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